Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002516 0.002669 0.002833 0.003024 0.003240 0.003479 0.003767
2025-05-04 0.002347 0.002565 0.002813 0.003120 0.003497 0.003956 0.004573
2025-05-11 0.002184 0.002436 0.002734 0.003123 0.003632 0.004300 0.005296
2025-05-18 0.002104 0.002390 0.002741 0.003221 0.003888 0.004841 0.006446
2025-05-25 0.001993 0.002291 0.002668 0.003198 0.003972 0.005151 0.007355
2025-06-01 0.001886 0.002187 0.002574 0.003135 0.003981 0.005340 0.008127
2025-06-08 0.001844 0.002162 0.002581 0.003208 0.004201 0.005923 0.010017
2025-06-15 0.001798 0.002128 0.002571 0.003253 0.004381 0.006486 0.012354
2025-06-22 0.001729 0.002057 0.002504 0.003203 0.004393 0.006724 0.014046
2025-06-29 0.001663 0.001987 0.002433 0.003140 0.004372 0.006887 0.015722
2025-07-06 0.001608 0.001930 0.002377 0.003096 0.004377 0.007110 0.018049
2025-07-13 0.001524 0.001828 0.002251 0.002930 0.004138 0.006707 0.016902
2025-07-20 0.001487 0.001794 0.002225 0.002930 0.004224 0.007143 0.021342
2025-07-27 0.001473 0.001791 0.002245 0.003008 0.004473 0.008113 0.035263
2025-08-03 0.001440 0.001759 0.002219 0.003006 0.004562 0.008690 0.055821
2025-08-10 0.001431 0.001761 0.002244 0.003094 0.004859 0.010134 0.433218
2025-08-17 0.001397 0.001725 0.002210 0.003073 0.004909 0.010752 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001357 0.001679 0.002157 0.003013 0.004860 0.010959 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001347 0.001676 0.002172 0.003081 0.005130 0.012829 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001332 0.001666 0.002174 0.003123 0.005346 0.014805 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001301 0.001629 0.002132 0.003077 0.005322 0.015358 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001269 0.001591 0.002086 0.003018 0.005258 0.015606 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001242 0.001560 0.002049 0.002977 0.005235 0.016177 NaN